Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 1904.705833 2072.535833 2242.316297 2426.635912 2620.797243 2818.965137 3036.215620
2025-06-29 1618.531891 1867.491051 2128.808876 2422.358790 2741.746917 3077.592555 3456.299741
2025-07-06 1388.673385 1679.126712 1992.960877 2354.787807 2757.989729 3191.166240 3689.387485
2025-07-13 1304.638774 1636.300869 2002.749153 2433.575997 2922.191064 3455.324404 4077.176178
2025-07-20 1215.009827 1576.592603 1984.375303 2472.313412 3034.385593 3656.001853 4389.858497
2025-07-27 1122.857074 1505.621043 1945.822754 2481.315501 3107.091883 3807.709637 4643.846813
2025-08-03 1035.888249 1434.053214 1900.672854 2477.229209 3160.070038 3933.259389 4865.150920
2025-08-10 968.622769 1381.470475 1873.788007 2490.784876 3230.340238 4076.169246 5104.469401
2025-08-17 895.466612 1316.771963 1828.135390 2478.157981 3266.583593 4177.161610 5293.489497
2025-08-24 846.642221 1279.668807 1813.599848 2500.812196 3342.950860 4323.757552 5534.785845
2025-08-31 784.411645 1221.529984 1769.712939 2484.645429 3370.235954 4410.672594 5704.797901
2025-09-07 754.758681 1204.377670 1776.027136 2529.473314 3470.749998 4584.186955 5977.053333
2025-09-14 709.458261 1164.620892 1752.531891 2536.761181 3525.924805 4704.959385 6189.266622
2025-09-21 662.225979 1119.750113 1720.452861 2531.617375 3564.700580 4805.518613 6377.485788
2025-09-28 593.656310 1041.175416 1640.592059 2462.025991 3520.282340 4802.804918 6439.619265
2025-10-05 586.751248 1049.891047 1676.993558 2543.177063 3665.912159 5033.029595 6784.547009
2025-10-12 565.458858 1036.428807 1682.429937 2583.066840 3758.830627 5198.427662 7051.064649
2025-10-19 534.901917 1007.613835 1665.523696 2592.335855 3811.862070 5314.098916 7256.806707
2025-10-26 501.873510 973.259934 1639.460404 2588.128438 3846.599708 5406.422049 7433.633642
2025-11-02 476.892157 949.811095 1627.564679 2602.085660 3904.246661 5527.073485 7645.401538
2025-11-09 445.119840 914.018201 1596.723947 2589.084746 3925.787583 5601.745100 7799.939768
2025-11-16 426.211889 897.586060 1592.854879 2612.409545 3994.642516 5736.055471 8028.819602
2025-11-23 396.932262 862.730425 1560.890735 2595.764438 4009.801985 5801.660915 8171.651158